A Reserve Bank of India board meeting began on Monday with investors waiting to see if central bank and government policymakers could bridge differences over several key issues.
Top government officials and one independent director have pressed the RBI to ease lending and capital rules for banks, provide more liquidity to the shadow banking sector, support lending to small businesses and to let the government use more of the RBI’s surplus reserves to boost the economy.
Unhappy over the pressure, RBI Deputy Governor Viral Acharya had warned that undermining central bank independence could be “catastrophic”.
The very public row led to speculation that RBI Governor Urjit Patel might resign, though officials have since sought to dampen such talk.
On Monday, the Business Standard newspaper cited unnamed sources saying the RBI might agree at the board meeting to remove some banks from a so-called prompt corrective action plan as the government has made commitments to recapitalize them soon.
The corrective action plan has led to sharp slowdown in lending in 11 state-owned banks.
The RBI would stay strict on bad loan norms and wanted the government to commit more for the health of state-run banks.
The Indian rupee INR=D4 strengthened to 71.625 per dollar versus 71.92 on Friday.
But with nothing official emerging from the meeting so far the bond and stock markets showed little movement.
The 10-year benchmark bond yield IN071728G=CC was at 7.80 percent compared with 7.82 at Friday’s close, while the broader NSE stock index .NSEI was up by a marginal 0.6 percent.
Investors were on guard against any resurrection of the row between the central bank and government officials, but few were expecting fireworks as both sides have tried to dispel fears of a more serious falling out.
That has left traders still anxious to see how far the central bank might be ready to compromise to meet the government’s demands.
“Foreign investors will wait to get some cues from today’s meeting on the extent to which the central bank is autonomous, but it will be good for bond markets in the short-term if the RBI gives in to the government’s demand for more liquidity,” said a dealer at a foreign bank.
The board meeting was specially convened to follow through on its last meeting on Oct 23, otherwise such meetings seldom draw attention as they typically focus on standard discussions on macro-economic variables.
The RBI board comprises 18 members, of which five are from the central bank, two are government officials, four represent the regional RBI board and seven are independent directors appointed by the government.