BERLIN — Germany’s governing parties were heading for very weak results and the far-right Alternative for Germany made gains in Sunday’s vote for the European Parliament, while the mainstream conservative opposition was set to remain the country’s strongest political force in the legislature, projections showed.
Projections for ARD and ZDF public television, based on exit polls and partial counting, showed support for Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s center-left Social Democrats at 14%, below the 15.8% they managed in 2019 — already their worst post-World War II result in a nationwide vote — and far short of their showing in Germany’s last national election in 2021.
Alternative for Germany, or AfD, was seen winning just over 16% of the vote. That’s better than its showing of 11% in 2019 but still some way short of its poll ratings at the beginning of the year. The party has seen a string of setbacks since then, including scandals surrounding its two lead candidates for the European Parliament.
The polls showed the environmentalist Greens, the second-biggest party in Scholz’s coalition, falling from a very successful 20.5% five years ago to around 12%. Support for the pro-business Free Democrats, the third party in the quarrelsome and unpopular government, was estimated at 5%.
The exit polls gave a clear lead to the center-right Union bloc, now the main opposition force, putting its support at around 30%. That’s underwhelming by historical standards but in line with its 2019 result and better than its showing in the last national election. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is a member of the Christian Democratic Union, the dominant party in the two-party bloc, and said she was impressed by its showing.
Kevin Kühnert, the Social Democrats’ general secretary, said that “this is a hard defeat for us today.” He vowed that “we will come back, we will fight our way out of this.”
AfD co-leader Alice Weidel told ARD that “it went very successfully because people as a whole have become more critical of Europe.” She skirted questions about her party’s lead candidates and their future.
Scholz’s coalition government set out to modernize Germany but has gained a reputation for constant discord as the economy, Europe’s biggest, struggles to generate growth.
Even as they campaigned, the coalition partners argued about how to put together a 2025 budget while adhering to Germany’s tight self-imposed rules on running up debt.
CDU leader Friedrich Merz celebrated the Union’s performance and called the projected results “a disaster” for the governing coalition, noting that most voters were influenced above all by domestic political considerations.
“It is in particular a serious defeat for the chancellor, who was on posters across the country” along with his party’s lead candidate for the European Parliament, Merz said. He described it as “the last warning” from voters before Germany’s next national election, expected in the fall of 2025.
The projections showed the new BSW party taking up to 6% of the vote. The BSW was founded by prominent opposition politician Sahra Wagenknecht and combines left-wing economic policy with a restrictive approach to migration and opposition to weapons supplies to Ukraine.
Germany has 96 of the 720 seats in the new European Parliament, the biggest number for a single country.
