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Oil prices climb on upbeat economic data, ECB stimulus moves

EnergyOil prices climb on upbeat economic data, ECB stimulus moves
ECB president Mario Draghi .
ECB president Mario Draghi .

Oil prices extended gains into a second day in Asian trade on Friday, finding support from brighter economic data and a global stock market rally after the European Central Bank signalled its willingness to launch more stimulus measures.

Brent LCOc1 for December delivery rose 30 cents to $48.38 a barrel at 0547 GMT after settling up 23 cents in the previous session.

U.S. crude CLc1 for December delivery climbed 13 cents to $45.51 a barrel, having risen 18 cents previously.

The gains followed a slew of upbeat economic data, while ECB president Mario Draghi said new Eurozone pump priming initiatives could be unveiled as soon as December.

“It’s all about the numbers,” said Jonathan Barratt, chief investment officer at Sydney’s Ayers Alliance.

    “The market is taking the view that governments will not allow economies to falter. These expectations suggest more active economic development will force consumption to go up,” he said.

But preliminary business survey data for the Eurozone and the United States later on Friday could weigh on oil markets after the rally in prices in Asia, said Daniel Ang, an analyst at Singapore’s Phillip Futures.

“I expect to see some bargain hunting but I’m sceptical the rise (in oil prices) could continue,” he said.

The Markit Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data for October could indicate further economic weakness.

“I don’t think it’ll be favourable for the markets,” Ang said.

That came as Japanese manufacturing activity expanded in October at what could be its fastest pace in 19 months, according to Markit/Nikkei Japan Flash Manufacturing PMI data on Friday.

China’s commercial crude oil stocks at the end of September rose 2.38 percent from August, while diesel stocks saw a record 15.68 percent drawdown and refined fuel stocks overall dropped 7.46 percent, the official Xinhua News Agency reported on Friday without giving actual volumes.

Average new home prices in China rose in September for a fifth straight month, according to Reuters calculations from official data published on Friday.

Data from the United States on Thursday showed a strong rebound in home resales in September and new applications for unemployment benefits hovered around 42-year lows last week.

Asian stock markets, including Japan and Australia, joined a global shares surge that buoyed overall sentiment, although a strengthening dollar, which rose to a fresh two-month peak against the euro, capped oil price gains.

A stronger greenback makes commodities denominated in the dollar more expensive for holders of other currencies.

But rising U.S. oil inventories, which climbed by a larger than expected 8 million barrels to 476.6 million last week, are a potential headwind to oil prices, helping to fuel concern over global oversupply. [EIA/S]

Investors are waiting for the latest rig data later on Friday for guidance on a further fall in U.S. oil production, which has dropped to below 9 million barrels per day, Phillip Futures in a note.

“If the (downward) trend continues it shows supply is being eaten into,” Barratt said.

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